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March Madness: Who AI picked to win the women’s 2025 NCAA Tournament

by March 20, 2025
by March 20, 2025

South Carolina women’s basketball coach Dawn Staley didn’t like that her Gamecocks weren’t the No. 1 overall seed in the 2025 NCAA Tournament. But artificial intelligence likes the path laid out for South Carolina a lot this March Madness, so much so that it could lead to a third national championship in four years.

USA TODAY Sports used the Microsoft Copilot AI chatbot to predict the result of every women’s game in this year’s NCAA Tournament bracket. The results looked a lot like a typical bracket filled out in NCAA Tournament pools around the country, and it’s becoming an increasingly popular tool for college basketball fans to use during March Madness.

But the Gamecocks stand to gain the most if AI is right.

The Microsoft Copilot AI simulation picked South Carolina to win its fourth national championship under Staley. It had the Gamecocks beating No. 4 seed Maryland, No. 3 seed North Carolina and then avenging two of its three regular-season losses with a win over No. 1 seed Texas in the Final Four and a victory against No. 2 seed UConn in the national title game. It’s plausible considering the Gamecocks are one of the betting favorites to win the national championship, according to BetMGM.

The AI simulation didn’t predict nearly as many upsets as it did in the men’s NCAA Tournament bracket, with only one lower-seeded team advancing in the first round. That, however, aligns with recent history. There was only one upset during the first round of women’s March Madness last year. The model still wound up with multiple No. 3 seeds in the Elite Eight in 2025.

Here’s a complete look at how Microsoft Copilot’s AI chatbot predicted every game in the women’s 2025 NCAA Tournament bracket:

March Madness predictions 2025: AI simulation of every women’s NCAA Tournament game

First Round

Spokane 1 Region

  • No. 1 seed UCLA beat No. 16 seed Southern
  • No. 8 seed Richmond beats No. 9 seed Georgia Tech
  • No. 5 seed Ole Miss beats No. 12 seed Ball State
  • No. 4 seed Baylor beats No. 13 seed Grand Canyon
  • No. 3 seed LSU beats No. 14 seed San Diego State
  • No. 6 seed Florida State beats No. 11 seed George Mason
  • No. 7 seed Michigan State beats No. 10 seed Harvard
  • No. 2 seed North Carolina State beats No. 15 seed Vermont

Birmingham 2 Region

  • No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 16 seed Tennessee Tech
  • No. 8 seed Utah beats No. 9 seed Indiana
  • No. 5 seed Alabama beats No. 12 seed Green Bay
  • No. 4 seed Maryland beats No. 13 seed Norfolk State
  • No. 6 seed West Virginia beats No. 11 seed Columbia/Washington
  • No. 3 seed North Carolina beats No. 14 seed Oregon State
  • No. 7 seed Vanderbilt beats No. 10 seed Oregon
  • No. 2 seed Duke beats No. 15 seed Lehigh

Birmingham 3 Region

  • No. 1 seed Texas beats No. 16 seed High Point/William & Mary
  • No. 8 seed Illinois beats No. 9 seed Creighton
  • No. 5 seed Tennessee beats No. 12 seed South Florida
  • No. 4 seed Ohio State beats No. 13 seed Montana State
  • No. 6 seed Michigan beats No. 11 seed Iowa State
  • No. 3 seed Notre Dame beats No. 14 seed Stephen F. Austin
  • No. 7 seed Louisville beats No. 10 seed Nebraska
  • No. 2 seed TCU beats No. 15 seed Fairleigh Dickinson

Spokane 4 Region

  • No. 1 seed USC beats No. 16 seed UNC-Greensboro
  • No. 4 seed Kentucky beats No. 13 seed Liberty
  • No. 9 seed Mississippi State beats No. 8 seed California
  • No. 5 seed Kansas State beats No. 12 seed Fairfield
  • No. 6 seed Iowa beats No. 11 seed Murray State
  • No. 3 seed Oklahoma beats No. 14 seed Florida Gulf Coast
  • No. 7 seed Oklahoma State beats No. 10 seed South Dakota State
  • No. 2 seed UConn beats No. 15 seed Arkansas State

Second Round

Spokane 1 Region

  • No. 1 seed UCLA beats No. 8 seed Richmond
  • No. 4 seed Baylor beats No. 5 seed Ole Miss
  • No. 3 seed LSU beats No. 6 seed Florida State
  • No. 2 seed North Carolina State beats No. 7 seed Michigan State

Birmingham 2 Region

  • No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 8 seed Utah
  • No. 4 seed Maryland beats No. 5 seed Alabama
  • No. 3 seed North Carolina beats No. 6 seed West Virginia
  • No. 2 seed Duke beats No. 7 seed Vanderbilt

Birmingham 3 Region

  • No. 1 seed Texas beats No. 8 seed Illinois
  • No. 4 seed Ohio State beats No. 5 seed Tennessee
  • No. 3 seed Notre Dame beats No. 6 seed Michigan
  • No. 2 seed TCU beats No. 7 seed Louisville

Spokane 4 Region

  • No. 1 seed USC beats No. 9 seed Mississippi State
  • No. 4 seed Kentucky beats No. 5 seed Kansas State
  • No. 6 seed Iowa beats No. 3 seed Oklahoma
  • No. 2 seed UConn beats No. 7 seed Oklahoma State

Sweet 16

Spokane 1 Region

  • No. 1 seed UCLA beats No. 4 seed Baylor
  • No. 3 seed LSU beats No. 2 seed North Carolina State

Birmingham 2 Region

  • No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 4 seed Maryland
  • No. 3 seed North Carolina beats No. 2 seed Duke

Birmingham 3 Region

  • No. 1 seed Texas beats No. 4 seed Ohio State
  • No. 3 seed Notre Dame beats No. 2 seed TCU

Spokane 4 Region

  • No. 1 seed USC beats No. 4 seed Kentucky
  • No. 2 seed UConn beats No. 6 seed Iowa

Elite Eight

  • Spokane 1 Region: No. 1 seed UCLA beats No. 3 seed LSU
  • Birmingham 2 Region: No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 3 seed North Carolina
  • Birmingham 3 Region: No. 1 seed Texas beats No. 3 seed Notre Dame
  • Spokane 4 Region: No. 2 seed UConn beats No. 1 seed USC

Final Four

  • No. 2 seed UConn beats No. 1 seed UCLA
  • No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 1 seed Texas

National Championship Game

  • No. 1 seed South Carolina beats No. 2 seed UConn, 70-68
This post appeared first on USA TODAY
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