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NFL Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios: What’s at stake Sunday?

by January 4, 2026
by January 4, 2026

With only 14 games remaining in the NFL regular season, the convoluted clinching scenarios are a thing of the past.

The playoff picture has largely come into focus, with 12 of 14 entrants already decided and five of eight division crowns claimed. But there are still a few matters left to be sorted out on Sunday.

Among the most notable unresolved issues are who will claim the AFC North and the NFC South. The former will be decided by a winner-take-all showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers to conclude the regular season on ‘Sunday Night Football.’ The latter will come down to the Atlanta Falcons’ meeting with the New Orleans Saints – though neither team can make it into the playoffs. A Falcons win will send the Carolina Panthers to the postseason for the first time since 2017, while a Saints win will ensure the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold onto the division title for a fifth consecutive season.

Here’s what all is on the table for Week 18:

NFL Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Denver Broncos Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Broncos clinch AFC’s No. 1 seed and home-field advantage with:

  • Broncos win
  • Broncos tie + Patriots loss or tie
  • Patriots loss + Jaguars loss or tie

New England Patriots Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Patriots clinch AFC’s No. 1 seed and home-field advantage with:

  • Patriots win + Broncos loss or tie
  • Patriots tie + Broncos loss

Jacksonville Jaguars Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Jaguars clinch AFC’s No. 1 seed and home-field advantage with:

  • Jaguars win + Broncos loss + Patriots loss

Jaguars clinch AFC South with:

  • Jaguars win or tie
  • Texans loss

Houston Texans Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Texans clinch AFC South with:

  • Texans win + Jaguars loss

Baltimore Ravens Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Ravens clinch AFC North with:

  • Ravens win

Pittsburgh Steelers Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Steelers clinch AFC North with:

  • Steelers win or tie

Carolina Panthers Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Panthers clinch NFC South with:

  • Falcons win

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 18 playoff clinching scenarios

Buccaneers clinch NFC South with:

  • Falcons loss or tie
This post appeared first on USA TODAY
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