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MLB draft lottery odds: What to know for 2026 lottery tonight

by December 9, 2025
by December 9, 2025

The Chicago White Sox have the best odds (27.73%) to land the No. 1 overall pick, followed by the Minnesota Twins (22.18%) and Pittsburgh Pirates (16.81%).

While the Colorado Rockies had MLB’s worst record (43-119), the team had a top-six lottery pick in each of the past two drafts, making them ineligible for a third.

This marks baseball’s fourth draft lottery and the previous teams to win the lottery had odds of 16.5% (2023 Pirates), 2.0% (2024 Guardians) and 10.2% (2025 Nationals).

Here’s what to know entering Tuesday’s draft lottery:

When is MLB draft lottery? How to watch, TV channel

  • Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: MLB Network

MLB draft lottery odds 2026

  • White Sox: 27.73%
  • Twins: 22.18%
  • Pirates: 16.81%
  • Orioles: 9.24%
  • Athletics: 6.55%
  • Braves: 4.54%
  • Rays: 3.03%
  • Cardinals: 2.35%
  • Marlins: 1.85%
  • Diamondbacks: 1.51%
  • Rangers: 1.34%
  • Giants: 1.01%
  • Royals: 0.84%
  • Mets: 0.67%
  • Astros: 0.34%
  • Rockies: ineligible
  • Nationals: ineligible
  • Angels: ineligible

The Colorado Rockies had the worst record in baseball but are are ineligible for the lottery because a team can’t receive a top-six pick three years in a row, after the team had such picks in 2024 and 2025. The Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Angels are also ineligible as ‘payor’ teams, unable to receive back-to-back lottery picks.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY
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